Association between Covid-19 vaccination and incidence of type 1 diabetes in China: Evidence from 14.14 million registered residents between 2007 and 2021.

AIMS: Reports have suggested that COVID-19 vaccination may cause Type 1 diabetes (T1D), particularly fulminant T1D (FT1D). This study aimed to investigate the incidence of T1D in a general population of China, where>90% of the people have received three injections of inactivated SARS-Cov-2 vaccines in 2021. METHODS: A population-based registry of T1D was performed using data from the Beijing Municipal Health Commission Information Center. Annual incidence rates were calculated by age group and gender, and annual percentage changes were assessed using Joinpoint regression. RESULTS: The study included 14.14 million registered residents, and 7,697 people with newly diagnosed T1D were identified from 2007 to 2021. T1D incidence increased from 2.77 in 2007 to 3.84 per 100,000 persons in 2021. However, T1D incidence was stable from 2019 to 2021, and the incidence rate did not increase when people were vaccinated in January-December 2021. The incidence of FT1D did not increase from 2015 to 2021. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that COVID-19 vaccination did not increase the onset of T1D or have a significant impact on T1D pathogenesis, at least not on a large scale.

Global Diabetes Prevalence in COVID-19 Patients and Contribution to COVID-19- Related Severity and Mortality: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 and diabetes both contribute to large global disease burdens. PURPOSE: To quantify the prevalence of diabetes in various COVID-19 disease stages and calculate the population attributable fraction (PAF) of diabetes to COVID-19-related severity and mortality. DATA SOURCES: Systematic review identified 729 studies with 29,874,938 COVID-19 patients. STUDY SELECTION: Studies detailed the prevalence of diabetes in subjects with known COVID-19 diagnosis and severity. DATA EXTRACTION: Study information, COVID-19 disease stages, and diabetes prevalence were extracted. DATA SYNTHESIS: The pooled prevalence of diabetes in stratified COVID-19 groups was 14.7% (95% CI 12.5-16.9) among confirmed cases, 10.4% (7.6-13.6) among nonhospitalized cases, 21.4% (20.4-22.5) among hospitalized cases, 11.9% (10.2-13.7) among nonsevere cases, 28.9% (27.0-30.8) among severe cases, and 34.6% (32.8-36.5) among deceased individuals, respectively. Multivariate metaregression analysis explained 53-83% heterogeneity of the pooled prevalence. Based on a modified version of the comparative risk assessment model, we estimated that the overall PAF of diabetes was 9.5% (7.3-11.7) for the presence of severe disease in COVID-19-infected individuals and 16.8% (14.8-18.8) for COVID-19-related deaths. Subgroup analyses demonstrated that countries with high income levels, high health care access and quality index, and low diabetes disease burden had lower PAF of diabetes contributing to COVID-19 severity and death. LIMITATIONS: Most studies had a high risk of bias. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of diabetes increases with COVID-19 severity, and diabetes accounts for 9.5% of severe COVID-19 cases and 16.8% of deaths, with disparities according to country income, health care access and quality index, and diabetes disease burden.

Elevated Fasting Blood Glucose Levels Are Associated with Worse Clinical Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients Than in Pneumonia Patients with Bacterial Infections.

AIMS: We investigate how fasting blood glucose (FBG) levels affect the clinical severity in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients, pneumonia patients with sole bacterial infection, and pneumonia patients with concurrent bacterial and fungal infections. METHODS: We enrolled 2761 COVID-19 patients, 1686 pneumonia patients with bacterial infections, and 2035 pneumonia patients with concurrent infections. We used multivariate logistic regression analysis to assess the associations between FBG levels and clinical severity. RESULTS: FBG levels in COVID-19 patients were significantly higher than in other pneumonia patients during hospitalisation and at discharge (all p < 0.05). Among COVID-19 patients, the odds ratios of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), respiratory failure (RF), acute hepatitis/liver failure (AH/LF), length of stay, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission were 12.80 (95% CI, 4.80-37.96), 5.72 (2.95-11.06), 2.60 (1.20-5.32), 1.42 (1.26-1.59), and 5.16 (3.26-8.17) times higher in the FBG ≥7.0 mmol/L group than in FBG < 6.1 mmol/L group, respectively. The odds ratios of RF, AH/LF, length of stay, and ICU admission were increased to a lesser extent in pneumonia patients with sole bacterial infection (3.70 [2.21-6.29]; 1.56 [1.17-2.07]; 0.98 [0.88-1.11]; 2.06 [1.26-3.36], respectively). The odds ratios of ARDS, RF, AH/LF, length of stay, and ICU admission were increased to a lesser extent in pneumonia patients with concurrent infections (3.04 [0.36-6.41]; 2.31 [1.76-3.05]; 1.21 [0.97-1.52]; 1.02 [0.93-1.13]; 1.72 [1.19-2.50], respectively). Among COVID-19 patients, the incidence rate of ICU admission on day 21 in the FBG ≥ 7.0 mmol/L group was six times higher than in the FBG < 6.1 mmol/L group (12.30% vs. 2.21%, p < 0.001). Among other pneumonia patients, the incidence rate of ICU admission on day 21 was only two times higher. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated FBG levels at admission predict subsequent clinical severity in all pneumonia patients regardless of the underlying pathogens, but COVID-19 patients are more sensitive to FBG levels, and suffer more severe clinical complications than other pneumonia patients.

New-onset COVID-19-related diabetes: an early indicator of multi-organ injury and mortally of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Objective: The pandemic of 2019 coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) disease (COVID-19) has imposed a severe public health burden worldwide. Most patients with COVID-19 were mild. Severe patients progressed rapidly to critical condition including acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), multi-organ failure and even death. This study aims to find early multi-organ injury indicators and blood glucose for predicting mortality of COVID-19. Methods: Fasting blood glucose (FBG) ≥7.0 mmol/L for two times during hospitalization and without a history of diabetes were defined as new-onset COVID-19-related diabetes (CRD). Indicators of injuries for multiple organs, including the lung, heart, kidney and liver, and glucose homeostasis were specifically analyzed for predicting death. Results: A total of 120 patients with a severity equal to or greater than Moderate were hospitalized. After excluding patients with history of diabetes, chronic heart, kidney, and liver disease, 69 patients were included in the final analysis. Of the 69 patients, 23 were Moderate, 20 were Severe, and 26 were Critical (including 16 deceased patients). Univariable analysis indicated that CRD, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), hydroxybutyrate dehydrogenase (HBDH), creatine kinase (CK) and creatinine (Cr) were associated with death. Multivariable analysis indicated that CRD was an independent predictor for death (HR = 3.75, 95% CI 1.26-11.15). Abnormal glucose homeostasis or CRD occurred earlier than other indicators for predicting poor outcomes. Indicators of multiple organ injury were in parallel with the expression patterns of ACE2 (the SARS-CoV-2 receptor) in different organs including pancreatic islet. Conclusions: New-onset COVID-19-related diabetes is an early indicator of multi-organ injury and predictor for poor outcomes and death in COVID-19 patients. As it is easy to perform for clinical practices and self-monitoring, glucose testing will be helpful for predicting poor outcomes to facilitate appropriate intensive care.

High Fasting Blood Glucose Level With Unknown Prior History of Diabetes Is Associated With High Risk of Severe Adverse COVID-19 Outcome.

Background: We aimed to understand how glycaemic levels among COVID-19 patients impact their disease progression and clinical complications. Methods: We enrolled 2,366 COVID-19 patients from Huoshenshan hospital in Wuhan. We stratified the COVID-19 patients into four subgroups by current fasting blood glucose (FBG) levels and their awareness of prior diabetic status, including patients with FBG<6.1mmol/L with no history of diabetes (group 1), patients with FBG<6.1mmol/L with a history of diabetes diagnosed (group 2), patients with FBG≥6.1mmol/L with no history of diabetes (group 3) and patients with FBG≥6.1mmol/L with a history of diabetes diagnosed (group 4). A multivariate cause-specific Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the associations between FBG levels or prior diabetic status and clinical adversities in COVID-19 patients. Results: COVID-19 patients with higher FBG and unknown diabetes in the past (group 3) are more likely to progress to the severe or critical stage than patients in other groups (severe: 38.46% vs 23.46%-30.70%; critical 7.69% vs 0.61%-3.96%). These patients also have the highest abnormal level of inflammatory parameters, complications, and clinical adversities among all four groups (all p<0.05). On day 21 of hospitalisation, group 3 had a significantly higher risk of ICU admission [14.1% (9.6%-18.6%)] than group 4 [7.0% (3.7%-10.3%)], group 2 [4.0% (0.2%-7.8%)] and group 1 [2.1% (1.4%-2.8%)], (P<0.001). Compared with group 1 who had low FBG, group 3 demonstrated 5 times higher risk of ICU admission events during hospitalisation (HR=5.38, 3.46-8.35, P<0.001), while group 4, where the patients had high FBG and prior diabetes diagnosed, also showed a significantly higher risk (HR=1.99, 1.12-3.52, P=0.019), but to a much lesser extent than in group 3. Conclusion: Our study shows that COVID-19 patients with current high FBG levels but unaware of pre-existing diabetes, or possibly new onset diabetes as a result of COVID-19 infection, have a higher risk of more severe adverse outcomes than those aware of prior diagnosis of diabetes and those with low current FBG levels.